A New York Times/Siena poll published November 2, 2026 shows Democrats leading in most Senate battleground states, including Texas and Kansas.
The New York Times and Siena University published a poll on Sunday, November 2, 2026, showing Democrats ahead in five Republican-held battleground states, with significant leads in Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas and a narrow lead in Alaska, while Iowa is extremely tight. Democrats need to hold all their seats and flip at least four Republican seats to win a Senate majority. The midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
18
Divergence score
2 outlets covered it, splitting into 2 framing camps across 2 bias groups.
2 camps
2 bias groups
The spectrum · how 2 outlets placed this story
LeftCenterRight
Jerusalem Post
New York Times
Supportive of action
Neutral
Dismissive
Critical
Alarmist
International angle
Widest split · the two outlets furthest apart, and who published first
Furthest apart on this story
Jerusalem Post
Democrats lead in key battleground states ahead of Senate midterms race - NYT poll
Full poll results framed as a rebuke of the Trump administration · negative
New York Times
Can Democrats Flip Texas?
Single-state horse-race explainer with no poll data · neutral
First to report
- New York Timesfirst
- Jerusalem Post+1.5 h
By each outlet's earliest publish time in this story. Feeds that index slowly can appear later than they printed.
The split, in one line
One outlet reports the poll as a broad Democratic sweep of battlegrounds tied to Trump's 32% approval; the other narrows to a single question, can Democrats flip Texas?, and offers no numbers.
How each outlet covered it
Lightly covered so far
Too few outlets to map a left-right split. Here is each take as it stands.
Sparse coverage · 2 outlets
“Democrats lead in key battleground states ahead of Senate midterms race - NYT poll”
“Can Democrats Flip Texas?”
5 tracked claims across 2 outlets
Fact ledger
All5Claimed4Corroborated1
2/2
Claimed
Texas is positioned to elect a Democrat to the Senate for the first time in nearly forty years
Corroborated
Disputed
4 more tracked claimsSign up free to see the full ledger