Democrat Emily Gregory flips Florida state House district that includes Trump's Mar-a-Lago in special election
Democrat Emily Gregory defeated Trump-endorsed Republican Jon Maples in a special election for Florida House District 87, winning 51% to 49%. The district includes Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate and had previously been won by Republicans by 19 percentage points in 2024. The victory is part of a series of Democratic wins in special elections since Trump returned to office.
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Divergence score
This event sits in the top 17% of divergence this week. 12 outlets covered it, splitting into 12 framing camps across 4 bias groups.
12 camps
4 bias groups
The spectrum · how 12 outlets placed this story
LeftCenterRight
CNN
Axios
Washington Examiner
Politico
BBC
Breitbart
HuffPost
PBS NewsHour
NY Post
Al Jazeera
The Hill
ABC News
Supportive of action
Neutral
Dismissive
Critical
Alarmist
International angle
Widest split · the two outlets furthest apart, and who published first
Furthest apart on this story
CNN
Florida Democrats hope in special election to flip a state legislative district that includes Mar-a-Lago - CNN
Democratic opportunity
Washington Examiner
Trump's Mar-a-Lago to be represented by Democrat after Florida special election upset
Significant political shift
First to report
- CNNfirst
- HuffPost+15.2 h
- Washington Examiner+15.9 h
- Axios+16.0 h
- Politico+16.6 h
- BBC+17.1 h
- Breitbart+17.8 h
- PBS NewsHour+29.5 h
- NY Post+30.3 h
- Al Jazeera+35.1 h
- The Hill+36.1 h
- ABC News+45.3 h
By each outlet's earliest publish time in this story. Feeds that index slowly can appear later than they printed.
The split, in one line
Democrats frame this as Trump's neighbors rejecting him and a warning sign for November. Republicans dismiss it as local quirks and turnout math, not a grand verdict on Trump's popularity.
How each outlet covered it
Broad agreement on what happened
Outlets across the spectrum land in roughly the same place: the shared language is highlighted.
THE LEFT
“Florida Democrats hope in special election to flip a state legislative district that includes Mar-a-Lago - CNN”CNN CNN LEFT
32LOW DIVERGENCE
THE RIGHT
“Trump's Mar-a-Lago to be represented by Democrat after Florida special election upset”WE Washington Examiner RIGHT
DOWN THE MIDDLE
“A Mar-a-Lago flip: Dems win Trump's hometown Florida House district - Politico” · Axios, Politico, BBC, PBS NewsHour, Al Jazeera, The Hill
+Hide the full sourcingSee how all 12 outlets put it
LEFT2
CNNCNN Florida Democrats hope in special election to flip a state legislative district that includes Mar-a-Lago - CNN 172d ago HPHuffPost Democrats Flip Florida Statehouse Seat That Includes Trump's Mar-A-Lago 171d ago CENTER4
AAxios Democrats flip Florida state seat in Trump's backyard 171d ago PPolitico A Mar-a-Lago flip: Dems win Trump's hometown Florida House district - Politico 171d ago PBSPBS NewsHour Florida Democrat flips seat in special election in district that includes Trump's Mar-a-Lago 171d ago HThe Hill Mar-a-Lago flip in Florida gives off warning sign for Trump, GOP 170d ago RIGHT3
WEWashington Examiner Trump's Mar-a-Lago to be represented by Democrat after Florida special election upset 171d ago BBreitbart Democrat Flips Florida State House District That Includes Trump's Mar-a-Lago 171d ago NYPNY Post Democrat Emily Gregory's win on Trump's turf spells midterm doom for GOP, CNN data buff warns 170d ago 8 tracked claims across 12 outlets
Fact ledger
All8Disputed2Claimed2Corroborated4
1/12
Disputed
Trump carried the district by either 11 points or roughly 9 points in the 2024 presidential election.
Corroborated
Disputed
7 more tracked claims, including 1 disputedSign up free to see the full ledger